Estonia vs Luxembourg Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 3rd October 2026

Estonia go up against Luxembourg on Saturday in a game played out at A Le Coq Arena. We are entering the third round of the group stage in the Nations League C with both very eager to add points to their tally. Estonia had a good reading on Luxembourg in their last two meetings, which they won by 4-0 and 2-0, respectively.
Estonia head to their upcoming match as number 127 in the FIFA world ranking. Meanwhile, there is a pretty big gap to upcoming opponents Luxembourg. They enter the game ranked number 98 in the world.
After the second round of the group stage Estonia are number three on two, while Luxembourg have three as number two. Having drawn the two first matches in the Nations League C, Estonia could do with a win to really impose themselves on the group.
Estonia have a hard time getting on the scoreboard these days, as they managed a poorly four goals in their previous ten matches. That is an average of 0.4 goals per game, in which they conceded 12 goals, or 1.2 goals per game. Furthermore, they fought their way to three clean sheets in this run.
Having so far lost and won a match in the Nations League C tournament this season, Luxembourg still have high hopes of getting through to the next stage. A second defeat could prove costly, though.
Luxembourg travel to their next Nations League C match, averaging a lowly 0.9 goals per game in their last ten matches. They scored a disappointing total of nine goals, while also conceding 14 goals. That amounts to an average of 1.4 per game, in which they kept their opponents from scoring two times.
Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction
Estonia Form
The Estonia team look in good shape before their match against Luxembourg, as they seek to remain unbeaten. Firstly, they beat Lithuania 1-0, then they held Iceland to a 1-1 draw. Their last outing resulted in a hard fought 0-0 draw Bulgaria. Estonia won half of their previous six internationals, while also drawing two. They lost one, while they scored nine and conceded eight goals.
Luxembourg Form
Despite losing their latest outing, results have generally been decent in the last three matches for Luxembourg. They first took out Albania by 0-1 before downing Bulgaria by 1-2. The winning streak came to an end against Iceland, who ran out 0-3 winners. Luxembourg performed a very admirable four wins in six internationals, while they also drew zero and lost two. They scored eight times, while also conceding eight goals.
Estonia find it just as tough as Luxembourg to get on the scoreboard these days, and a match short on goal looks highly likely, when they clash at A Le Coq Arena.
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Estonia vs Luxembourg Stats
- In 16 of the last 18 Estonia matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 5 Estonia matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 4 Estonia matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In the last 5 Estonia matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 5 of the last 6 Estonia home matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- In 13 of the last 15 Luxembourg away matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 9 Luxembourg matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 9 of the last 10 Luxembourg away matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 8 of the last 9 Luxembourg matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Luxembourg have won the last 3 away matches in a row while scoring less than 2.5 goals
Estonia vs Luxembourg Team News
Estonia vs Luxembourg H2H
Estonia go into their encounter with fond memories, as they won 4-0 and 2-0 the last two times they played Luxembourg. Estonia have a 67% win rate against Luxembourg, who won zero of these matches. The total record reads 2-1-0, which is worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Estonia vs Luxembourg Results
The scenario of both teams to score came out one time in the last three matches between Estonia and Luxembourg.
Estonia vs Luxembourg Betting Tips
Having scored just once lately for his country, Tanel Tammik will be eager to hit the target again, and the upcoming game presents an opportunity to step up. Luxembourg hope Vincent Thill can inflict some damage on their upcoming opponents by adding to his tally of three goals in his last six international matches.
Estonia claimed a modest three wins from their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. They split the points with the visiting team in two of the games, whilst losing five. Luxembourg won three of their last 10 games away, drew two and lost five of the games in this run. Should Estonia pull off a home win this coming Saturday, it could be an entertaining affair, since they only won two games to nil in their last 10 attempts.
In the last three encounters between Estonia and Luxembourg over 2.5 goals came out one time, as Estonia averaged 2.33 goals a game. Luxembourg scored an average of 0.33 goals in these, while both teams scored one time. Over 2.5 goals came out three times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Estonia, who scored an average of 1.1 goals along the way. Over 2.5 goals came up in four of Luxembourg's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 0.8 goals in these matches.