Sweden vs Poland Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 28th September 2026

Sweden head into an encounter against Poland this coming Monday. Played out at Strawberry Arena, this is their second of six outings in the Nations League B group phase. Sweden beat Poland by 3-2 in their most recent match, while Poland claimed a 2-0 win in the match prior to that.
While Sweden join this game on Monday as number 37 in the FIFA world ranking, visitors Poland are number 36.
After the first round of the group stage Sweden are number one on three, while Poland have one as number three. Sweden sealed a win in a slightly nervous 2-1 victory win in their Nations League B group opener. While not entirely convincing, they will be relieved to open their campaign with a win.
Sweden only average a modest 1.2 goals per game in their last ten matches in this tournament, in which they scored 12 goals. They also conceded 12 for an average of 1.2 per game. They kept their opponents from scoring four times.
It looks like a very tough assignment for Poland in this their next outing in the Nations League B. A win would be a highly surprising outcome in a match where securing even a point would be deemed a big surprise.
Poland travel to their next Nations League B match, averaging a lowly zero goals per game in their last one matches. They scored a disappointing total of zero goals, while also conceding zero goals. That amounts to an average of zero per game, in which they kept their opponents from scoring one times.
Sweden vs Poland Prediction
Sweden Form
Sweden hope for some consistency, as their fans saw their team win, lose and draw in their last three matches. A close game with Japan resulted in a 1-1 draw, followed by a 3-0 defeat against France, before beating Romania by 2-1. Sweden managed to win two of their past six internationals. In the remaining four, they drew two and lost two, as they scored 11 and conceded 13 goals.
Poland Form
Poland only managed two draws in their last three matches. They started by losing 0-2 at the hands of Ukraine, before drawing 2-2 with Nigeria. They secured another draw in their latest encounter against Bosnia-Herzegovina resulting 0-0. In their last six internationals Poland won twice, while also recording two draws. They endured two defeats in this run, with a scoreline from these matches saying ten goals conceded and nine scored.
It seems both Poland and Sweden have some issues concerning their defence, as they seem to find themselves on the receiving end a bit too often lately. We believe the trend continues on Monday, and we are rooting for goals.
Astonishingly, Sweden failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 16 matches.
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Sweden vs Poland Stats
- In 7 of the last 8 Sweden matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 6 of the last 8 Sweden matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In the last 3 Sweden home matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 7 of the last 9 Sweden matches in the Nations League B, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In the last 3 Sweden home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 4 of the last 5 Poland matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
Sweden vs Poland Team News
Sweden vs Poland H2H
Sweden beat Poland by 3-2 in their most recent match, while Poland claimed a 2-0 win in the match prior to that. Sweden tend to have the upper hand against Poland, grabbing all three points five times in six matches. The bookies best betting odds on a home win are at 10/11.
Sweden vs Poland Results
In three of the previous six matches between Sweden and Poland both teams scored.
Sweden vs Poland Betting Tips
Looking at the market for a goalscorer, it seems a good idea to side with Viktor Gyoekeres, who is performing well for Sweden. He found the back of the net three times in his most recent national team outings. He'll be out to add more goals for his country against Poland. The visitors will be looking up to Robert Lewandowski to find the net once again, after managing two goals for Poland in his last six matches.
Sweden won six of their previous 10 matches across all tournaments at Strawberry Arena. They drew two and lost two as well, while Poland won three of their last 10 games away. They drew three and lost four. Strap yourselves up for a goals at Strawberry Arena since both teams scored in seven of the last 10 home matches for Sweden. The same occurred in seven of the last 10 league games away from home for Poland.
In the last six encounters between Sweden and Poland over 2.5 goals came out four times, as Sweden averaged 2.33 goals a game. Poland scored an average of 1.16 goals in these, while both teams scored three times. Over 2.5 goals happened in eight of Sweden’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.9 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals came up in five of Poland's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 1.6 goals in these matches.